KC Royals: 3 big things to watch in club’s final 10 games
It’s hard to believe, but the KC Royals are about to put their 52nd season in the books. Including Friday night’s game against Detroit, Kansas City has just 10 games left to play before players scatter for the winter and J.J. Picollo embarks on his first offseason as general manager.
Little will happen, of course, until the World Series ends and the free agent season begins. Complicating any roster tinkering Picollo has in mind will be the uncertain state of labor negotiations, which could result in changes to the way clubs compensate players, the luxury tax system, and possibly even arbitration and free agency.
But before the Royals make any offseason news, they have to play those final 10 games. And although any chances of making the playoffs vanished long ago, compelling reasons remain to pay close attention to what the club does between now and next weekend’s conclusion to the season.
Will Andrew Benintendi, for example, stay hot? He’s been extraordinary this month, slashing .370/.404/.605 with 23 RBIs in 21 games.
Can rookie pitcher Jackson Kowar, the organization’s fifth best prospect per MLB Pipeline, give the Royals reason to believe he should start 2022 in Kansas City? He’s struggled in almost every one of his seven appearances (0-4, 11.45 ERA); because he’s not projected to start in the Detroit series, he may pitch only once more this year, and could benefit from a good final performance.
And will Kyle Isbel, who’s been getting a look in the outfield, make enough of an impression to figure into the Royals’ early plans for next season?
Let’s take a look at three other things to keep an eye on down the final stretch.
Will the fourth place KC Royals be able to avoid the AL Central cellar?
Going into Friday’s game at Comerica Park, Kansas City is 69-83 and will be alone in fourth place in the American League Central. While 70 wins is all but a certainty, staying out of last place isn’t.
Last place Minnesota was only two games behind the Royals entering tonight’s play. But the Twins schedule doesn’t bode well for escaping the cellar—counting tonight, they have four games left with the Blue Jays, who are almost 20 games above .500 and in the thick of the Wild Card race, then play the surprising Tigers three times before finishing up in Kansas City with three head-to-head games with the Royals, against whom they’re 7-9.
The Royals have three with Detroit, a makeup game Monday in Cleveland, then three at home with both the Indians and Minnesota. Cleveland is the toughest test—the Indians have beaten KC nine out of 12 times this year.
It will be close.
The KC Royals’ Salvador Perez already has 46 homers. Will he hit more?
Salvador Perez reached two milestones when he hit his 46th home run of the season Monday. He broke Johnny Bench’s single-season record for primary catchers and took over second place on Kansas City’s career homer list with 198, passing Mike Sweeney and bringing him, considering he has at least four years left with the Royals, within striking distance of George Brett’s 317.
How many more homers will Perez hit this season?
Two more will equal, and three more will snap, the club’s single-season best of 48 set two years ago by Jorge Soler. Considering Perez has 20 home runs since Aug. 1—an average of one every 2.4 games—those marks seem achievable.
Can Perez reach 50? That, too, isn’t an unreasonable expectation. Clubbing four homers in 10 games is certainly consistent with that current one per 2.4 games rate.
And who he’ll face down the stretch favors him. Perez has 68 homers—almost 35% of his career total—against the Tigers, Indians, and Minnesota. He’s also homered off two Tigers scheduled to pitch this weekend—Tarik Skubal twice, and Casey Mize once.
So, assuming Manager Mike Matheny plays him in all 10 games, Perez’s chances to hit 50 home runs look good.
The surprise of the KC Royals’ 2021 season has a good shot at a big feat.
After the first two years of his big league career, the thought of Kansas City infielder Nicky Lopez hitting even .260 in this or any other season bordered on fantasy. He hit .201 in 2020, a paltry performance that gave him a .228 career average going into spring training. His .118 Cactus League effort was too meager for the Royals, who sent Lopez to the minors before camp closed.
But an injury to Adalberto Mondesi just days before the Royals were set to open the season changed KC’s plans and pressed Lopez into everyday big league service. The chance was there for Lopez to prove his ability to hit just well enough to help the club until Mondesi returned, and then be a bench player.
He seized the opportunity and, after two more injuries deprived Mondesi of almost the entire campaign, did more than anyone had right to imagine. Unless things change drastically, Lopez should be declared Kansas City’s shortstop for next season.
Lopez, whose defensive prowess has never been questioned, and who just might win a Gold Glove this season, is slashing .334/.392/.407 since June 1, and has a .352 average and .400 OBP in September. He’ll start Friday night’s game with a season average of .304.
So, with 10 games left, can Lopez become the unlikeliest Royal to hit .300 in a long, long time?
Like the chance to prove himself that Mondesi’s misfortunes gave him, the opportunity to bat .300 is there for Lopez’s taking. Against the Tigers, Twins and Indians, the three teams he’ll face before the season ends, he’s hitting .291; if he slumped and went just 11-for-40, he’d finish at .301.
Nothing in Lopez’s last four months at the plate suggests, however, that he’s headed for a downturn. Instead, expect Lopez to reach, and perhaps eclipse, .300.
The KC Royals aren’t headed for the playoffs, but there’s much to entertain their fans over the last 10 games of the season.