KC Royals: Should Raul Mondesi Jr. Have Led Off The 10th?

Aug 16, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Kansas City Royals second baseman Raul Mondesi (27) at bat against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Aug 16, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Kansas City Royals second baseman Raul Mondesi (27) at bat against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
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Aug 18, 2016; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Royals third baseman Cheslor Cuthbert (19) hits a double against the Minnesota Twins in the eighth inning at Kauffman Stadium. Kansas City won the game 8-1. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
Aug 18, 2016; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Royals third baseman Cheslor Cuthbert (19) hits a double against the Minnesota Twins in the eighth inning at Kauffman Stadium. Kansas City won the game 8-1. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports

Applying The Pinch Hit Penalty To Cheslor Cuthbert

Applying Dolphin’s 6% estimated penalty to Cheslor Cuthbert and his current .328 wOBA (to use consistent statistics) drops to .308. If we presume that the 6% similarly applies to OPS and Batting Average those numbers drop from .764 to .718 (OPS) and .290 to .272 (BA).

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That’s not good, but they’re a lot better than Raul Mondesi’s .237 wOBA, .196 batting average, and .542 OPS.

But, raw numbers aren’t the whole story.

Ned Yost has to manage for more than one game. Yes, you’re in a playoff race and you’d expect your players to understand you need to chase every edge to win. But, 21-year-old rookies can have fragile confidence. If your manager expresses confidence in you in a key situation, it could help Mondesi succeed for the rest of the season.

At this point, it’s pretty clear that Ned Yost wants Raul Mondesi’s exceptional range and speed on the basepath in the lineup. Perhaps Tuesday’s decision was, in part, about helping Mondesi succeed over the last 30 games of the season.

Certainly, the move did work. Mondesi stole second after Hiller hit him with a pitch, and advanced to third on Jarrod Dyson‘s single to center. After Dyson stole second and Hiller struck out Lorenzo Cain, the Yankees escaped walking Hosmer, and bringing in reliever Chasen Shreve. Shreve then struck out Kendrys Morales and induced a fly ball from Salvador Perez.

Next: 10 Things That Have Gone Right For KC In 2016

In the end, the KC Royals players need to put the loss behind them. But manager Ned Yost can benefit from reviewing his decisions.

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