KC Royals: It’s time for Mike Matheny to feel the heat
The KC Royals are off to an abysmal 8-15 to start. They have one of the worst records in baseball—going into today’s play, only Cincinnati has fewer wins and only the Reds, Detroit, Boston, Baltimore and Washington have more losses. And the Royals are only a half-game out of last place in the American League Central.
The time for change is fast approaching.
Pitching coach Cal Eldred has been a familiar target of criticism before and is again, with much of the current discontent revolving around the struggles of Kansas City’s vaunted 2018 draft class. Jackson Kowar, Brady Singer and Kris Bubic have all struggled in the majors and Daniel Lynch, although he’s turned things around masterfully in 2022, had an ERA north of 10.00 when he was demoted to Triple-A Omaha after just three starts last season.
Such can be the case with young pitchers, however. It takes time. After all, at 25 Jacob deGrom hadn’t made his major league debut; at the same age, Justin Verlander went 11-17 with a 4.84 ERA. Even the best pitchers can take time to develop and reach their potential.
Don’t blame KC Royals pitching coach Cal Eldred for all the club’s troubles.
Perhaps a new pitching coach could ease some of the concerns, but those cries for Eldred’s job seem ill-informed. Despite his woes in 2021, Lynch has been great this season with a 3.86 ERA in four starts. He’s allowed just five walks and notched 20 strikeouts. Brad Keller has looked like a Cy Young candidate early this season, a welcome turnaround following a rough 2021.
Eldred has seen his fair share of success with the Royals, regardless of the (expected) struggles of the young arms. The fundamental problems behind the team’s failures since the start of 2021 lie not just with pitching, but also with many other aspects.
More concerning to the front office and fans should be the team’s inability to get on base and lack of a consistently effective batting order. In 2021, the Royals’ offense had some strong pieces:
- Whit Merrifield tied for the major league lead in doubles.
- Salvador Perez tied for the major league lead in home runs.
- Nicky Lopez became the first Royal shortstop among qualified hitters to ever hit .300 in a single season.
Considering Andrew Benintendi’s resurgence, the Royals’ lineup featured four great hitters and still ranked only13th in the American League in runs scored. Many of those same problems have bled over into the 2022 season.
As a result, Mike Matheny belongs on the hot seat as much as any member of his staff.
The KC Royals’ offense must share blame for the club’s poor 2022 start.
Without question, the struggles of Kansas City’s young pitchers have been a concern since the start of 2021. A driving factor behind the club’s belief it can contend in 2023 and beyond is the crop of talented arms on the horizon. Singer, Kowar, Lynch and Asa Lacy have been listed on top prospect lists; Lacy has yet to reach the majors but the other three arms all have big league ERA’s above 4.60
But the club has also been unable to score runs. Despite serious slumps, Whit Merrifield and Carlos Santana remained in key batting order spots throughout April. Bobby Witt Jr. started his rookie season struggling at the plate until a late April move to the bottom of the order seemed to spark his bat.
Matheny’s lineup construction has been questionable and created dead spots in the primary run-producing parts of the lineup. Beyond that, Matheny’s decision to stick with questionable veterans over younger talent has been confusing.
Kyle Isbel and Edward Olivares didn’t receive consistent playing time through the season’s entire first month, and it took an injury to Adalberto Mondesi to open the door for both. Now in the lineup consistently, Olivares has a .902 OPS.
And the recent injury to Carlos Santana provided just another example of poor lineup management. With Santana on the Injured List, Matheny chose Ryan O’Hearn to play first base instead of capitalizing on the opportunity to give promising prospect Vinnie Pasquantino a chance. O’Hearn has slashed .203/.280/.352 since the start of 2019.
Matheny has made it clear he’ll stick with struggling veterans far too long rather than letting his young players carve out their roles.
Mike Matheny faced criticism before he began managing the KC Royals.
Matheny had his share of success managing in St. Louis, where he was 591-474 from 2012 until he was fired during the 2018 season. The Cardinals didn’t have a losing season during under him and reached the postseason in each of his first four seasons. The club even rewarded him after the 2016 campaign with a three-year contract extension through 2020.
Things soon changed for Matheny and the Cardinals. The team finished 2017 in third place in the National League Central and he didn’t make it through the 2018 season. How could a manager who built a track record of winning and success go from a contract extension to being fired so quickly?
The answer is in the details. Part of the problem was the team’s three-year postseason drought. Winning fixes everything, and the Cardinals just weren’t winning enough. Beyond that, however, Matheny’s managing skills were questioned: NBC Sports’ Bill Baer reported Matheny and outfielder Dexter Fowler hardly spoke and, in his piece “Long Known As a Bad Tactician, Mike Matheny was Fired for Being a Bad Boss,” The Ringer’s Michael Baumann detailed his criticisms of Matheny, including tactics, inflexibility, and an inability to “bring the best out of your players.”
Now, some of those same concerns are starting to plague the Royals. Matheny’s lineups seem dull, inflexible, and frequently downright stubborn. Concerns about tactics should sound familiar to KC fans, including leaving starters in too long, which SBNation’s Tyler Kinzey pointed out as a shortcoming back in 2017. Royals fans saw this last season with Jackson Kowar and Daniel Lynch and are seeing it again this season with Kris Bubic and Carlos Hernández.
Much criticism of Eldred may start with earl-game struggles of young Royals starters, a problem that may involve him but aren’t new to Matheny, and seem to have followed him from St. Louis to Kansas City. If Eldred goes, so, too, should Matheny.
Mike Matheny has been unable to put his players in the right positions to succeed. It’s time for the Royals to fix the problem. He needs to feel the heat.