KC Royals: 3 urgent moves the club must make now
The KC Royals reach the mathematical half-way point of their disappointing 2021 season Friday when they host Minnesota. Unless the Royals keep losing and the Twins suddenly start winning, the contest will pit two teams fighting each other to stay out of the American League Central cellar.
The Royals are 33-43 after Sunday’s loss to Texas, 7-17 in June, 17-30 since the last day they spent in first place, and share last place with the Twins, just percentage points behind Detroit.
For Kansas City, contending is improbable, but not impossible. A lost season lies just around the corner unless the club fixes its erratic starting rotation and lack of meaningful hitting. Change must come now.
Start with the staff. Kings of Kauffman’s Batoul Hammoud persuasively suggested as much recently and now, six losses later, the time has definitely come to replace pitching coach Cal Eldred and hitting coach Terry Bradshaw.
The KC Royals’ pitching and hitting woes call the coaches into question.
That coaches don’t pitch or hit is true, but they do coach and lead, and their roles aren’t limited to teaching and monitoring mechanics and technique. Coaches must study opposing teams’ trends and tendencies, know what pitches opponents throw in given situations and what opposing batters like to hit and in what counts they look for their favorite pitches. They help players develop approaches and strategies.
So, player performance and coaching are related, the former always somewhat dependent on the latter. In the Royals’ case this season, the rotation has been rocky from the start. Aside from Danny Duffy, and to some extent Mike Minor, KC starters are painfully inconsistent and struggle constantly; identifying the club’s five starters is a daily challenge. Stellar minor league pitchers Daniel Lynch and Jackson Kowar excelled in the minors only to fail miserably when promoted to KC.
And the offense has struggled since early May. Even casual observers know this team doesn’t drive in runs with runners in scoring position or deliver in other clutch moments. Key players like Jorge Soler and Hunter Dozier haven’t hit all season and repeat the same mistakes day in and day out.
The club requires a shakeup. Hammoud was and is correct—it needs to start with Eldred and Bradshaw. No longer should the Royals consider keeping them.
Other moves must also be made now.
The KC Royals need to make immediate, wholesale changes to their outfield.
Before this season, Kansas City’s outfield had been questionable for several years. Alex Gordon’s glove remained superior, but his bat steadily declined after 2015 and he retired last September; no one staked their claim to center field following Lorenzo Cain’s departure after 2017; and Adalberto Mondesi’s injury-riddled 2021 has derailed the Royals’ dream of permanently moving Whit Merrifield to right, a position that’s been in flux for years.
For a time this season, though, some things seemed to be getting better in the KC outfield. Andrew Benintendi fulfilled the club’s expectations as Gordon’s replacement, and new center fielder Michael A. Taylor surprised with a good bat until it turned bad. Right field, though, remained a revolving door, with Jorge Soler playing there much too frequently.
Now, the outfield is again muddled. Benintendi is out indefinitely with a rib fracture, Taylor isn’t hitting, and right field really belongs to no one.
Stability is an immediate priority if the KC Royals want to keep their fading hopes of contention alive, but it requires an overhaul.
Since Kings of Kauffman’s Aidan Karpin recently and convincingly advocated for replacing Taylor with Edward Olivares, the case for doing so has grown stronger—Taylor is 2-for-14 (.142), and KC’s lost five straight, while Olivares is 8-for-21 (.380) with two home runs at Omaha, where’s he’s blistering Triple-A pitching with a .368/.436/.602 season line and eight homers. Olivares hit .261 for the Royals in three all-too-short visits this season, and .274 for them in 18 games last year, so he can handle a big league bat. He’s also a good defender.
The Kansas City brass, though, has a vested interest in playing Taylor—his one-year contract makes him a potential July trade target, so he should be seen. But because the Royals won’t get much for him anyway, the risk of playing him less is low.
That leaves left and right fields. Left is easy—simply give the job to proven veteran and versatile outfielder Jarrod Dyson, who’s an excellent defender still fast enough to cover all of left and left-center, and leave him there until Benintendi returns. The Royals need the speed and disruption he can bring to the base paths and his ability to bunt. And although he’s not hitting that much at the moment (.242), he can make a lot of things happen.
(Dyson and Olivares are interchangeable parts—Dyson could play center and Olivares left, which might be better considering Dyson’s speed).
And right field? The timeshare it’s become needs to end, and until Mondesi returns and frees up Merrifield for the position, Hunter Dozier may be the player to stop it. His offense (he’s slashing .155/.226/.324) is a problem, but he might benefit from settling into one position for awhile. Dozier in right also makes more sense than continuing to deploy Soler there: Dozier is better defensively and, presuming the KC Royals find a trade partner or they tire of his approach at the plate, Soler and his one-year contract are almost certain to be gone by the July 30 trade deadline.
And because the KC Royals gave Dozier a new $25 million contract before the season started, he’s going to play. It might as well be in right field until Mondesi returns and clears the way for Merrifield to leave second for right, and the Royals won’t search for a trade.
In disarray and disrepair, the KC Royals’ starting rotation needs some help.
Who is in Kansas City’s starting rotation isn’t an easy question to answer. Mike Minor, leading the team with six wins, definitely is, and so is Brady Singer who’s displayed signs of improvement in two of his last three starts. Brad Keller belongs, but a fifth straight poor outing (he’s given up 21 runs in 20.1 innings over his last four) could alter his status.
And Danny Duffy appears to be at least a part-time rota member—Manager Mike Matheny suggested to The Kansas City Star’s Lynn Worthy that he’ll get some starts, but also pitch out of the bullpen while working his way back from spending over a month on the Injured List. Kris Bubic drifts in and out of the starting five. Matheny has successfully used Kyle Zimmer as an “opener,” but whether he’s a starter is a matter of perspective.
This club needs another reliable rotation member. But where to find one?
Their own pitching inventory is the easiest and preferred source, but the Royals have tried that this season. Daniel Lynch and Jackson Kowar, the organization’s No. 2 and No. 5 MLB Pipeline prospects, didn’t survive long: Lynch went 0-2, 15.75 in three starts, and Kowar 0-2, 18.00 in two starts and a three inning relief appearance. Both are back in Triple-A.
Help could also come from hot prospect Daniel Tillo who, but for last summer’s Tommy John surgery, might be in the rotation now. The KC Royals sent him on a rehabilitation assignment Sunday. Whether he makes it to Kansas City this season depends on how he recovers and progresses; if the club does promote him, though, it will probably come too late to help it get back into contention.
Jakob Junis is another internal option after starting for most of four seasons before this one, but he’s been subpar this season (2-3, 5.19) and now works alongside Lynch and Kowar at Omaha, where he’s 0-1, 3.52 in three starts.
Should the Royals turn to the market for rotation help? They certainly could, but Royal custom isn’t to go big on premium outside help when not in serious contention, and good help would cost the club dearly in personnel, money, or both.
So it is that Junis may be the club’s best option at this point. Kansas City’s current 20 games in 20 days slate, with no scheduled time off until the All-Star Break, means a full five-man rotation is ideal, so Junis’ experience and ability to go somewhat long (he averages almost six innings per start) could help.
The Royals might also consider a minor trade, but that isn’t likely.
Making these needed moves won’t guarantee success for the 2021 KC Royals.
Unfortunately, baseball moves guarantee nothing, especially with a franchise hesitant to take big risks and spend big money. The rotation and hitters won’t improve overnight if the Royals replace Cal Eldred and Terry Bradshaw, but the changes must be made. Making Edward Olivares, Jarrod Dyson, and Hunter Dozier everyday outfielders isn’t going to assure October baseball in Kansas City, but stability should help. And finding another starter won’t bring the club a pennant, only a few more wins.
But unless Kansas City changes course and defies its conservative past, or reels off a couple of long winning streaks to get deep into contention, those kinds of changes will be the ones made. And for now, they’re better than nothing.
The KC Royals open a four game road series with American League East leader Boston tonight. Time will tell whether any changes are made before first pitch, or even during the series. But some must be made soon.