KC Royals: 3 things Danny Duffy’s return could mean

(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
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(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /

Finally, there came definitive news Tuesday concerning Adalberto Mondesi, the KC Royals’ shortstop whose continuing war with injuries has forced him out of all but seven of the club’s games this season. The Royals activated him from the Injured List so, although he didn’t crack the lineup against Detroit, he’s back.

Thus ended days of speculation and angst about Mondesi, but a major Royal question remains.

When will Danny Duffy return?

Duffy was enjoying his best season in years (4-3, 1.95 ERA) before a left forearm flexor strain drove him to the IL in mid-May. The news was surprising, and Duffy quickly offered assurances that the injury was nothing more serious. The club’s frequent updates on Duffy haven’t included a definite timeline for his return.

And as Alec Lewis, KC beat writer for The Athletic, reported Tuesday, Duffy’s return to duty remains uncertain:

What does seem certain, though, is that Duffy will be back sometime this season, perhaps even this month. What happens to him when he returns?

Duffy’s injury means the KC Royals probably won’t be trading him in July.

One key to predicting Duffy’s Kansas City future is his expiring contract which, coupled with his excellent work this season, should have General Manager Dayton Moore’s phone ringing when the July trade deadline nears. But Duffy’s injury changes the bargaining equation and may dampen other clubs’ enthusiasm.

Flexor strains often precede Tommy John Surgery; there isn’t any publicly-known evidence suggesting Duffy’s strain puts him on the verge of TJS, but teams will now be more cautious and less likely to jump on a deal for him. While reluctance might be less if Duffy’s post-return pitching matches his pre-injury performance, it won’t disappear, and other clubs might not be willing to give up what the Royals need to let Duffy go.

So, don’t expect KC to trade Duffy next month.

(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images) /

The KC Royals might decide it’s time to shift Duffy to a different role.

Thinking of Danny Duffy as a relief pitcher is nothing new. Indeed, speculating that he will, or should, move to Kansas City’s bullpen is an annual affair for media and fans. Recurring injuries and durability—Duffy’s pitched over 150 innings only twice in his 11-year career—underlie the suggestions that relieving suits him better than starting.

And Duffy is no stranger to the pen. His career relief appearances are far from rare.

Duffy pitched most frequently out of the KC Royals’ bullpen in 2016, when he made 16 relief appearances in 42 games with an 0-0, 3.00 record. He relieved six times in both 2014 and 2015 and was 1-1 with a 2.16 ERA the first year, and 0-0, 0.00 in 8.1 innings, and earned his only big league save, in the second. He pitched two-thirds of an innings in relief late last season.

And he his strikeout rates in relief are excellent: 11.9 in 2014, 13.0 in 2015, and 10.5 in 2016.

Overall, he’s 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA, 1.086 WHIP, and an 11.3 SO9 in 29 career relief appearances.

Duffy’s successful times as a reliever are a few seasons old, but nothing suggests he wouldn’t be effective in that role now. His good track record and latest injury might tempt the Royals to move Duffy to the bullpen to spare him the rigors of starting and create some space in the rotation for one of the club’s talented young pitching prospects.

A change in assignment certainly isn’t out of the question for Duffy.

(Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports)
(Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports) /

When all is said and done, Danny Duffy and the KC Royals may forge a new deal.

Danny Duffy and the Royals have been together ever since the club selected him in the third round of the 2007 amateur draft and he threw his first professional pitch for in the Arizona Rookie League later that year.

The long relationship between player and club has survived the ups and downs and injuries of Duffy’s career. The KC Royals thought so much of him that they signed him to a five-year, $65 million dollar contract in the winter of 2017, a deal that avoided impending arbitration for both sides and allowed the franchise to sidestep Duffy’s first eligibility for free agency.

It’s naive to think the Royals haven’t entertained thoughts of trading Duffy, but he’s remained in Kansas City, a situation much to his liking considering his well-known desire to stay.

Look for the Duffy-Royals relationship to continue despite his eligibility for free agency when the season ends.

The reasons are many. The pitcher’s trade value isn’t gone, but it’s certainly diminished a bit by his injury and the uncertainty such things create. Even if other clubs come calling next month, they may not be willing to part with the level of talent Kansas City will demand.

Duffy will complete his 11th major league season this year; he’s never pitched anywhere else, so he knows the organization, its culture, and its philosophies perhaps better than any other player. He knows the ropes and can mentor the club’s young pitchers.

Duffy is good for the Royals in so many ways, and he clearly believes the franchise is good for him.

Those are the reasons, if he pitches well and stays healthy when he returns, Duffy and the Royals forging a new deal, one to keep him in KC for the rest of his career, makes perfect sense. It won’t be the kind of mega-deal he’s finishing up, and it shouldn’t be. Something along the lines of two years for, say, $20-25 million, and a mutual option season, seems reasonable.

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Danny Duffy should return to the KC Royals soon. What happens to him the rest of the season remains to be seen, but look for him to be back in 2022.

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