KC Royals: 40-man roster revamp happening soon
With the Rule 5 draft approaching, which KC Royals may lose their 40-man roster spots?
Like prospectors seeking their fortunes, major league clubs with vacancies on their 40-man rosters will gather in just over three weeks for the Rule 5 draft, baseball’s annual talent crapshoot. The draft is scheduled for Dec. 10 and, unless they fill the one open spot on their own 40-man, the KC Royals will be among the clubs searching for diamonds in the rough.
The rules for the Rule 5 are simple. Players who signed at 18 or younger and haven’t made their teams’ big league rosters within five years, or who signed at 19 or older and haven’t made it within four, can be drafted by any club whose 40-man roster isn’t full. Drafting clubs pay $100,000 and must retain drafted players on their active rosters for the following season or, with limited exceptions, lose them to their original teams.
Besides deciding who, if anyone, to draft, the hard parts for participating teams are deciding who to add to their 40-man rosters to protect them from the draft, and who to cut to make room for those players. Some decisions are easier than others: the Royals, for example, won’t cut Salvador Perez, Brad Keller, Brady Singer, or Adalberto Mondesi to create space for protectees, but they’ll have to decide whether to risk losing others with promising futures.
Kansas City won’t be flooding their roster safe harbor with protectees. In fact, mlb.com identifies just five among its Top 30 KC prospects: outfielders Khalil Lee, Seuly Matias and Brewer Hicklen, and pitchers Daniel Tillo and Yefri Del Rosario. Assuming they’re right, who will Kansas City cut to accommodate those players on the 40-man?
There isn’t much time to decide. Clubs have to set their 40-man rosters for Rule 5 purposes Friday. What will the Royals do?
For the KC Royals, the pitching staff is the most logical place to start cutting.
The odds are against teams hitting pay dirt in the Rule 5; gems are rare, but one pops up every now and then. For example, pitchers Brad Keller and Joakim Soria came to the KC Royals via the Rule 5. And while those hurlers were Rule 5 adds, the first place the Royals should look to create 40-man roster space is their well-stocked pitching corps.
Some Kansas City hurlers are, of course, 40-man untouchables. The club isn’t going to remove Keller, Brady Singer, Kris Bubic, Josh Staumont, or Danny Duffy (unless they trade him in the next few days, which isn’t likely), or Kyle Zimmer or Tyler Zuber. But there are expendables.
Chase Adams comes immediately to mind, and he’s been mentioned before in the cut context. He came to KC last December in decline, once a top Yankee prospect whose bouts with bone spurs and control problems cast a promising career into serious doubt. He made the Royals 60-man Player Pool in 2020 and spent the summer at their alternate site before earning a six-game big league look in the campaign’s late stages. Although he wasn’t used in important spots and didn’t walk anyone, he gave up nine runs in 8.2 innings. Any good pitching at T-Bones Stadium didn’t carry over.
Scott Blewett could get the 40-man axe. He only pitched briefly for KC in 2020—the Royals summoned him twice for short fill-in duty without using him, then afforded him two chances in late September. He struck out four and gave up two runs in three innings. That they didn’t use him more and he’s given up a few too many runs (5.00 ERA) in the minors suggests he may not be in the club’s long range plans.
Like Jorge Lopez before him (but perhaps not to Lopez’s extreme), Glenn Sparkman finds himself without a firm niche, a hurler who hasn’t self-defined his role. He’s appeared in four KC seasons, primarily as an unremarkable reliever in 2017 and ’18, then mainly as an unsuccessful starter (4-10, 6.31 ERA in 23 starts) in 2019, and finally as a reliever in four games in 2020 before a right forearm injury ended his season. The bullpen is now solid and full and there isn’t room for him in the rotation.
The club’s approach to Richard Lovelady suggests it may open his 40-man spot. His minor league stats—10-8, 2.17 ERA, 2.54 BB9 and 9.75 SO9 in 133 games—prove he can pitch, but his 21 big league innings haven’t been pretty because he’s given up 18 runs. And he only pitched once in 2020. Despite his stellar minor league numbers, it seems the club isn’t committed to using him much.
Where Gabe Speier stands with the Royals is hard to figure. Manager Mike Matheny certainly picked his spots for Speier in 2020, using him eight times but only for a full inning once. Speier walked four and surrendered five runs in 5.2 innings. His minor league ERA of 3.41 is a bit high for a reliever and the club’s major league bullpen may not have enough room for him.
Daniel Tillo, one of mlb.com’s picks for Rule 5 protection, isn’t expendable, but the club may risk him anyway. He’ll likely miss all of next season after Tommy John surgery—a Rule 5 draftee who goes on the Injured List still has to be active for 90 days, and no team is likely to use an active roster spot that long on someone who can’t play. The same goes for Foster Griffin, so both are probably safe if left unprotected.
Seemingly safe are Jake Newberry, Carlos Hernandez and Jakob Junis; Ronald Bolanos and Carlos Sanabria are recent acquisitions who likely won’t be moved off the 40-man.
A catcher and a KC Royals infielder or two might be roster cut choices.
For two straight seasons, injuries to team backbone Salvador Perez put the KC Royals in the unenviable position of trying to replace the irreplaceable. No one in the club’s system could equal Perez’s bat, glove, arm or leadership when he went down for a time in 2018, then missed all of 2019. Cam Gallagher and Meibrys Viloria proved to be serviceable defensively, and called decent games, but neither hit.
It’s Gallagher to whom the Royals first turned each time Perez was hurt, and he’s the prime backup. That leaves Viloria vulnerable to a cut, especially after Perez’s wildly successful 2020 return (save, of course, for his nagging eye issue) which suggests the club can safely carry one extra catcher.
Viloria, unlike so many of the club’s cuttable pitchers, has no minor league options left, so the Royals can’t remove him from the 40-man but keep him by sending him to the minors unless he clears waivers. But the Royals may be comfortable exposing him to the draft—his weak bat may not attract attention.
The Royals currently list Erick Mejia as an infielder (he’s spent time at second, short and third), but he can also play in the outfield. He’s been a professional since 2012 but didn’t reach the majors until 2019, has made it into just 17 big league games, and is only 6-for-36 (.167). His speed (154 steals in the minors) may keep him in the KC picture, but the Royals’ major and minor league infields and outfields are both crowded.
Like Mejia, Ryan McBroom, acquired from the Yankees in 2019, is an infielder (first base) who also spends time in the outfield. Locked in a 2020 contest for first with Ryan O’Hearn until Hunter Dozier displaced them both late in the season, McBroom has options and could be moved off the 40-man before the homegrown O’Hearn, who has more power.
For the KC Royals, it really is time to move on from Bubba Starling.
Bubba Starling is the feel-good story that somehow never made us feel quite as good as we had hoped. A multi-sport prep star who probably would have starred at quarterback for the University of Nebraska had he not signed with the Royals (he’d already inked to play for the Cornhuskers when he turned his full attention to baseball), and a hometown-type kid who grew up near Kansas City, Starling just hasn’t lived up to baseball expectations that may have been too high.
Starling plays superb defense but doesn’t hit. Although he had a few moments at the plate in the minors, his 91-game .204/246/.298 big league slash and lack of power (just five homers) strongly suggest major league pitchers have him outmatched and overpowered.
And there isn’t much, if any, room left for him in a Royals outfield packed with young talent; it’s yet another reason why Kansas City should be ready to part ways with him.
Starling has no options left, so the KC Royals can’t demote him to the minors unless he clears waivers. Another club might take a chance on him; if none do, don’t be surprised if the Royals bring him back for one more chance.
The Royals need to make room on their 40-man roster to protect prospects from the Rule 5 draft. They have plenty of choices.