KC Royals: Brad Keller and the rest of the 2020 rotation predictions

Though they struggled in 2019, the KC Royals rotation may look similar come 2020, without any further free agent moves and breakouts in spring training.

The KC Royals and fans are starting to gear up for the 2020 season. It’s quickly approaching and players will start to report before you know it. Soon, the team and fans will get so see what previous Royals players have been working on over the offseason, and what newer players may have to offer.

There are a lot of questions that have to be answered once spring training arrives. Depending on whether or not Alex Gordon returns, the outfield will need to be solidified. The recent signing of third baseman Maikel Franco raises some questions, and first base is still up in the air.

There could be changes that come in all forms around the field and fans could see many players moving positions or at least trying out some new things. The positions that may get the most looks, though, will be the pitchers.

Pitching was one of the biggest issues for the Royals in 2019. While many of the pitchers struggled with consistency, there was also a lack of understanding roles for the first portion of the season. Though it was mainly in the bullpen, it seemed as though pitchers were never really sure what their role was, starting, relief, closing, etc.

Hopefully, in 2020, the pitching roles will be a little more concrete from the start. Adjustments can always be made as needed, but players should be able to focus on a role and not have to expect a change daily.

There is still some time left in the offseason, but if the next few months continue like typical Royals offseasons, there won’t too many more changes to the current roster. With that, let’s make some predictions at who will be in the Royals 2020 starting rotation.

One young pitcher has shown his worth to the KC Royals and is likely to find himself in the rotation for years to come.

When attempting to decide who will be in the KC Royals rotation for 2020, the first name that may come to many fans’ minds is Brad Keller. Keller was a breakout pitcher in 2018 who started his career in the bullpen but stepped up in a time of need and finished the season as a starter.

In 2018, Keller started 20 games, playing in 41, and held an ERA of 3.08. He was a lockdown for the future rotation and a breath of fresh air for a team that was struggling with pitchers. Keller is not one to strikeout out every batter, but his ability to keep the ball on the ground rivals just about anyone and his low home runs against speaks volumes as well.

Keller found his way to being the opening day starter in 2019 and blew fans away with a great game, pitching 7 innings giving up only 2 hits and striking out 5. Keller continued to pitch throughout the season, but struggled greatly with walks, causing his ERA to rise to 4.19 on the season.

While Keller struggled in some areas, he also seemed to have less run support than many other pitchers, ranking 175th in run support out of 178 pitchers who started at least 10 games.

Though Keller seemed to regress a bit in 2019, he still showed enough to be a lockdown candidate for the 2020 rotation. He is a young arm that has proven he can compete, and with continued work, he could turn into a good pitcher for years to come in the future Royals rotation.

While Jakob Junis has seen his struggles, he has proven that he has the stuff to compete, and could easily make his way back into the rotation in 2020.

Jakob Junis, like Keller, is another pitcher that is very likely to return to the rotation, though some rumors have him moving to a role in the bullpen. While there is really no telling at this point, for the moment, it looks as though he will continue his spot in the starting rotation.

Junis has been a decent, middle to back of the rotation pitcher for the Royals. One thing working in Junis’s favor is that he has been able to start 30 and 31 games over the previous two seasons, giving the Royals a starter who can at least eat some innings.

Junis is another pitcher that has seemed to regress, but can still manage to find some good work for the Royals. Junis saw his ERA jump from a 4.37 in 2018 to a 5.24 in 2019. This was likely, at least in part, due to some control issues as seen through his walk rate.

In previous years, Junis gave up just over 2 walks per 9, but that number jumped to 3 in 2019, continuing the trend seen in most of the Royals pitching staff. His strikeout rate stayed consistent, bumping up to 8.4 form 8.3 in 2019 and his FIP hit 4.82, up just a bit from his 4.64 in 2018.

There has been some talk of moving Junis to the bullpen, suggesting he is more effective on his first time through the order, but due to his ability to eat innings, it’s likely the Royals will give him another shot in the starting rotation.

If Junis continues to struggle, he may see his time as a starter cut short, but the Royals need pitchers who can consistently start instead of playing the round-robin of starting pitchers fans have seen in the past.

Mike Montgomery still has a lot to prove for the KC Royals, but his improvements at the end of 2019 give hope that he can figure it out for a rotation spot in 2020.

A third likely option for the KC Royals starting rotation in 2020 is Mike Montgomery. Montgomery, who was originally drafted by the Royals, came back to the team in a trade that saw veteran catcher Martin Maldanado off to the Chicago Cubs.

Montogomery played various roles for Chicago, seeing games as both a starter and a reliever. In 2019, he saw 20 games with the Cubs, all out of the bullpen. Montgomery became vocal about his desire to start games and felt he was at his best when he was starting. The Royals decided to give him a shot.

While he did see some struggles after coming to Kansas City, Montgomery improved in almost every aspect of his pitching from his first half of the season in Chicago, and over more than double the innings.

While in Chicago, Montgomery managed an ERA of 5.67 over 27 innings of relief, an FIP of 6.21, walks per 9 of 4.3, and a strikeouts per 9 of 6.0. In Kansas City, Montgomery started 13 games over 64 innings, held an ERA of 4.64, an FIP of 5.23, a walks per 9 of 3.0 and a strikeouts per 9 of 7.2.

While there are still some areas where he can continue to improve, the improved numbers he showed in going from reliving to starting are something that should be considered when deciding the rotation for 2020.

Montgomery proved that he could improve and that he had the stuff to be a starter. Now, with an offseason to work and spring training to prove what he has, he will likely be given the chance to start the season as a starter and become a part of the long term rotation.

Danny Duffy has been a part of the KC Royals rotation for a few years, and it’s likely he will continue to see starts unless he continues to regress.

Danny Duffy is one of the few KC Royals that remains from the World Series team. If only he could find his form from seasons like 2014 through 2017, there would be no question that Danny Duffy would be at the front of the Royals rotation.

While it’s likely Duffy will remain a starter, he has struggled the last few years and has seen some regression in terms of production. Duffy was once a decent starter for the Royals, showing some inconsistency, but regularly eating some innings, keeping his ERA around or under 4.00.

Since 2018, though Duffy has seen his ERA rise to 4.88 in 2018 and 4.34 in 2019, and has seen less control with his walk rate increasing from past years and his strikeout rate slowly decreasing. One cause of this may be due to injuries. Duffy has struggled at times to stay healthy, and though he has still managed to put together some innings, he has seen time on the injured list in the past few years.

In 2019, Duffy’s strikeout rate decreased, but saw improvement in most of his other stats. His ERA, though still high, was getting closer to that 4.00 mark, his walks decreased, and he ended the season on a high note.

Duffy went back and forth most of 2019 and in August he saw himself back on the injured list after giving up 8 runs in 4.2 innings. When he returned though to start a game on September 1st, Duffy started to look like his old self.

Duffy Managed 30.1 innings in September over 5 starts, giving up 8 earned runs, finishing with a record of 2-0, striking out 25 and held an ERA of 2.37. Of course, this is a fairly small sample, but it looks as though Duffy may have finally started to figure it out.

Whether or not Duffy can continue the form the team saw in September remains to be seen, but because of his past with the Royals, it warrants another look for him in spring training and creates a likely possibility he will start the season in the rotation. If he continues to struggle, he may be another case of a veteran trying to regain some steam in a bullpen role.

While the fifth spot is a bit unknown at this point, the signing of Jesse Hahn could turn out to be a steal for the KC Royals if he can get back to his old form.

The fifth spot in the rotation for the KC Royals is ultimately a toss-up. It’s difficult to decide who might take over the spot as it seems the Royals either have relief pitchers with some shaky starts, or starters who didn’t cut it and have been moved to a relief role.

For this reason, Jesse Hahn becomes the fifth starter in this prediction. Hahn was non-tendered and became a free agent in early December, only to be resigned by the Royals a few weeks later to a club-friendly contract.

There has been mention of the Royals using Hahn in a bullpen role for 2020, but if he can show he still has what it takes in spring training, he may be on his way to the starting rotation instead.

Hahn originally came to the Royals in an offseason trade with the Oakland Athletics along with Heath Fillmyer for Ryan Buchter and Brandon Moss. Unfortunately, since he has come over in that trade, Hahn has not seen much time with the team as he has been injured and recovering from surgery.

In 2019, Hahn saw his first major league innings since being with Oakland. He was used in 6 relief appearances over 4.2 innings. His strikouts per 9 jumps out at 13.5 over this small sample, but so does his high walks per 9 at 11.6 and his ERA at 13.50.

Of course, this sample is incredibly small, but it is still concerning. The Royals obviously saw something they liked, though, leading to the team resigning him to a year contract. While Hahn has not seen the time over the last few years that some pitchers have, he has seen the time in the past as a starter.

Whether minor or major league innings, Hahn has spent the majority of his time starting games for both Oakland and San Diego. It will remain unknown what Hahn can really produce until spring training, but if he can keep the ball under control and pitch as he has in the past, he will likely be the fifth man on the Royals starting rotation for 2020.