KC Royals: Five Players the Royals Could Sell at the Trade Deadline

Oct 23, 2015; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Royals owner David Glass (left) with general manager Dayton Moore (right) before game six of the ALCS against the Toronto Blue Jays at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 23, 2015; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Royals owner David Glass (left) with general manager Dayton Moore (right) before game six of the ALCS against the Toronto Blue Jays at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
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Oct 23, 2015; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Royals owner David Glass (left) with general manager Dayton Moore (right) before game six of the ALCS against the Toronto Blue Jays at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 23, 2015; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Royals owner David Glass (left) with general manager Dayton Moore (right) before game six of the ALCS against the Toronto Blue Jays at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports /

The KC Royals are locked in a battle for 1st place in the AL Central Division and as of Right now are only 1.5 Games out of First. But should things between now and the beginning of August change, the KC Royals may look at  moving some players to re-stock the farm system and shed salary.

The KC Royals have shown that not only can they rip-off long winning streaks, they can also rip-off long losing streaks. So far this year the KC Royals have had losing streaks of 8 games, 5 games and 3 games. Their longest winning streak so far has been 6 games. So it appears right now that this version of the Royals is the text-book definition of streaky.

The 2016 KC Royals have also battled injuries, and currently have 3 recent AAA Storm Chasers playing prominent roles on the roster. Brett Eibner, Cheslor Cuthbert, Whit Merrifield, and Ray Fuentes have all contributed to the MLB Royals this year due to either injury, or ineptitude. Utility man Christian Colon has also started several games for the Royals this year over recently DFA’D Omar Infante.

The infusion of youth on the KC Royals roster is a good thing in the long run. It shows that behind the current team there are potential future stars who have waited their turn, and have matured in the minors. But, we have seen many times with KC and other MLB clubs that young players can start off hot, until the league catches up and then the growing pains start.

As good as Lorenzo Cain, Moustakas, Hosmer, and Salvy have become, we all know they had their slumps in the past. For all four of them, the slumps came after some initial success at the big league level. The point here is, things are going along OK right now, but they could fall apart in a hurry, and if they do, here are 5 potential players the KC Royals could move to re-stock the farm for 2017 and beyond.

Next: Trade Bait No. 1

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports /

1) Kendrys Morales

Kendrys Morales is having a difficult year with the KC Royals. in 2015, Morales slashed .290/.362/.489.  Morales hit 22 dingers as well and drove in 106 runs.  He was also clutch having a batting average of .335 with runners in scoring position. 

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Morales was also very effective from both sides of the plate in 2015 having an OPS of .901 hitting LH and .771 batting RH. It should be noted that he hits LH more often than RH so his overall OPS was closer to .901 at .847. That is certainly getting it done.

Those 2015 numbers look even better when you consider that Dayton Moore and the Royals signed Morales to a 2 year deal where Morales made $7.25 Million in 2015. It is still my opinion that Morales should have been the comeback player of the year in 2015, though he did win the silver slugger award for best DH in the AL.

2016 on the other hand has been a disappointment. In the last 14 days, Morales has had a batting average around .270. But on the season, Morales has an OPS of just .603.  That is just awful, especially from a DH.

Sure Morales is hitting the ball hard and the shift is taking away a lot of hits, but the bottom line is he isn’t getting on base. I think if you ask Moustakas, learning to go the other way in the middle of a season is going to be nearly impossible, and few players, unlike Moustakas, can truly commit to it.

The other thing is, Morales has a mutual option in 2017 for $11 million which I doubt the Royals will agree to should his lack of production at the plate continue. So, should things go south, Morales might be someone the Royals could move to a team with short porch ball park or in need of a 1B/DH. I doubt the return would be very big, but it would save some money and allow a younger player like Eibner to get more MLB at bats.

Next: Trade Bait No. 2

Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports /

2) Edinson Volquez

Steady Eddie Volquez has been the most reliable KC Royals pitcher over the last two years and was a key part of the 2015 World Series Win. In 2015 Volquez pitched just over 200 innings, started two world series games, with one of them coming on the heels of his father passing away. It was one of the gutsiest performances I have ever seen in sports.

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Volquez’s numbers in 2015 were solid with a 3.55 ERA, a FIP of 3.85, and a WHIP of 1.308. He was the staff ace on the KC Royals, and would have had a home on pretty much any other staff as at least a solid #3.  Volquez has been almost as effective in 2016. His ERA and FIP is up a bit due to a few bad starts but as of now Volquez has an ERA of 3.9.

As everyone knows, mutual options are rarely ever exercised so it is likely if Volquez has a good year, he will go to free agency and if it is a down year, the KC Royals would not exercise their portion. Starting pitching is ALWAYS at a premium at the trade deadline, and Volquez would get a lot of attention. Essentially Volquez would be a rental since he is in the 2nd year of a 2 year deal with a mutual option for a 3rd year.

Moving Volquez would free up a spot for one of the young guns in AAA to get some MLB time, but mainly it would get back some of what was lost when the Royals traded for Cueto last year. I would expect a top prospect in return for the ability to rent Volquez.

Next: Trade Bait No. 3

John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports /

3) Luke Hochevar

His appearance on 6/16/2016 not withstanding, Luke Hochevar has been excellent out of the bullpen for the KC Royals.  Another failed starter turned reliever, Hochevar had a 3.73 ERA in 49 appearances in 2015. Hochevar was a key arm out of the pen in the playoffs in 2015 and probably would have factored into the 2014 playoffs had he not been sidelined with an injury. 

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Hochevar has been even more effective in 2016 as both a 7th/8th inning setup man, and at stranding runners when another pitcher finds himself in trouble. Hochevar’s ERA in 2016 is down to 3.21, and his FIP is around 3.5 so it appears that Hochevar has indeed found a place for himself in the Major Leagues.

Bullpen arms are another hot commodity at the trade deadline as most teams want to staff the pen with as many arms as possible. I believe Hochevar would have many suitors come August 1st, should the KC Royals not be in contention.

Hochvear is also in the final year of his team controlled contract with a mutual option for 2017. If Hochevar continues to have a good 2016, it is unlikely that he will agree to $7 Million so Hochevar is likely headed for free agency. In otherwords, Hochevar would be a rental.

While Hochevar may not bring the prospect haul Volquez would, I could see a teams like Cleveland, Chicago, Detriot, Boston etc all lining up to claim Hochevar.  So the KC Royals could get some real value moving Hochevar.

Next: Trade Bait No. 4

John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports /

4) Lorenzo Cain

Lorenzo Cain is one of the key KC Royals players and a massive contributor to the KC Royals success beginning in 2013. In 2013, Cain was worth 2.7 WAR. In 2014 Cain’s WAR increased to 4.9 and last year it hit 6.6!

As of right now, Cain is on pace to replicate his 2014 level of production which is still very good and valuable to not only the KC Royals, but just about any team in contention. Especially since Cain wouldn’t be a rental as he is signed through the end of the 2017 season.

Since Cain isn’t a rental, it would make some sense that the KC Royals keep him even if 2016 goes south since he would be certainly on the team in 2017. But there is one big reason why the KC Royals would/could consider moving Cain.

The reason is age. Cain is 30 yrs old this year and by the time he his un-restricted free agency, he will be entering his 32 year old season. That is about the same time that most aging curves begin to predict a decline. Also, Cain’s value is predicated in large part to speed in the outfield and on the bases, which is the 1st thing to go as a player ages.

Sure, Cain may be the next Tori Hunter who was a valuable player all the way up to 40 yrs old. But the odds are against it. Cain has also battled some injuries in his career, injuries that will surly pop back up as his age advances. After all, there is a reason KC opted not to give him a long term deal even though Cain was requesting one.

The other thing is, it is unlikely that the Royals will be able to sign the entire core at the conclusion of the 2017 season when they all hit free agency. Moving Cain in 2016, if the Royals are out of it, would not only bring in a sizable haul of prospects, but it would free up some cash to sign the much younger players such as Hosmer and Moustakas.

Look, I know Cain is a fan favorite and one heck of a CF, but real soon we are going to have to face the fact that some of the team we love right now is going to have to move on.

Next: Trade Bait No. 5

Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports /

5) Wade Davis

Wade Davis has had video game like stats since the KC Royals moved him into the bullpen. 1.0, 0.94, 1.11, those are Davis’s ERA’s in 2014, 2015, and now in 2016. The man is just a flat out ridiculous bullpen arm that smashes the hopes of opponents and their fans of a comeback when he enters the game.

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Moving Davis from the 8th inning setup role to the closer role in 2015 made no real difference as he has remained just as dominant. He is the best reliever on the staff, no doubt about it, but he is also the best trade piece if the Royals are out of contention in 2016.

There are several reasons, all sort of combining, to make Davis available. The first reason is that the KC Royals bullpen is deep, and other arms such as Herrera, and Soria are under team control beyond 2017 where Davis’s contract expires at the conclusion of the 2017 season. There is a team option on Davis’s contract in 2017 for $10 million and then he becomes an unrestricted free agent.

I believe Herrera is fully capible to take over the closers role at some point and Herrera is under team control until 2019. Soria just signed a 3 year deal with KC where his contract also ends following the 2019 season. With the two of them on board for the next 3 years, absent Davis, the Royals would need one more high quality bullpen arm to continue the dominance they have shown in the past 2-3 seasons.

A Davis trade would certainly bring in a few top prospects in return, and not leave the Royals bullpen completely empty. Further, if Davis continues to dominate this year and the next. It is unlikely the Royals will be able to afford to keep him AND sign some of the core players to long term deals.

As of right now, it looks like the KC Royals will be buyers at the non-waiver Trade Deadline in 2016. But if the rookie magic fades away, and there are more big losing streaks than winning streaks coming. Some combination of these 5 trade options could totally restock the Royals farm system ensuring there isn’t another multi-100 loss season streak looming in the near future.

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