Royals v. Angels – Two Franchises On Opposite Paths

Oct 3, 2014; Anaheim, CA, USA; Kansas City Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer hits a two-run home run against the Los Angeles Angels during the 11th inning in game two of the 2014 ALDS playoff baseball game at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 3, 2014; Anaheim, CA, USA; Kansas City Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer hits a two-run home run against the Los Angeles Angels during the 11th inning in game two of the 2014 ALDS playoff baseball game at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
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The Royals head to Anaheim for a three-game set against the Angels this week

Oct 3, 2014; Anaheim, CA, USA; Name that swing. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 3, 2014; Anaheim, CA, USA; Name that swing. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /

The Royals are coming off a 4-2 home stand against two likely contenders in the Tigers and Orioles, sitting at 12-6 after 18 games.

For what it’s worth, the 2015 Royals were also 12-6 after 18 games.

The Royals and Angels certainly classify as tales of two completely opposite franchise trajectories.

Rewind back to 2014, the Angels entered the postseason as the best team in the American League with 98 wins.

Their lineup included MVP’s in Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, and Josh Hamilton, while their rotation featured a peaking combination of Garrett Richards and Matt Shoemaker, along side a not so terrible Jared Weaver.

The Royals, on the other hand, entered the postseason as the fourth seed, with 89 wins, having to win a win-or-go-home wild card game just to advance in the postseason.

The Royals would go on to win that wild card game, obviously, and sweep the Angels in a series that signaled the end of a contender.

Since then, the Angels have riddled in mediocrity, with a roster that lacks talent to surround a prime Trout and an aging Pujols.

The Royals, on the other hand, ran that wild card momentum right into a World Series appearance and followed that run up by becoming the class of the American League, winning 95 games in 2015.

Needless to say, the Royals head to Anaheim in a much different position than they did a year and a half ago.

Next: Game One - Ian Kennedy Looks To Stay Hot

Apr 20, 2016; Kansas City, MO, USA; Ian Kennedy has been all the Royals have asked of him in 2016, and more. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 20, 2016; Kansas City, MO, USA; Ian Kennedy has been all the Royals have asked of him in 2016, and more. Mandatory Credit: John Rieger-USA TODAY Sports /

Monday: RHP Ian Kennedy (2-1, 1.35 ERA) v. Garrett Richards (0-3, 3.00 ERA)

Ian Kennedy has been nothing short of spectacular thus far in his newly wed Royals career.

Through three starts, he has given up just three runs in 20 innings, while striking out 21 and posting a measly 0.90 WHIP.

He was tacked with his first loss of the season last Wednesday, albeit a tough luck loss, being out-dueled by Jordan Zimmermann in a 3-2 loss.

He gave up just two runs in 6.1 innings.

In his three starts for Kansas City, Kennedy has racked up a 0.6 fWAR, which is very close to the 0.8 fWAR he posted last season in 30 starts.

His 9.45 K/9 would also be a career high if the season ended today. Needless to say, his season is going well so far.

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Richards, on the other hand, is one of the lone survivors from the 2014 squad that has not been shipped out or dried up.

He is still only 27 and is coming off a season in which he posted a 3.65 ERA in over 200 innings of work.

In his one start against the Royals in 2015, he went six innings and gave up three runs on eight hits.

He figures to be a pretty decent matchup for the Royals, being a high-velocity fastball guy with a fairly limited arsenal.

He throws gas, with a fastball that will sit in the 95-97 range and touch triple digits, who relies primarily on his slider for his main breaking pitch.  He also throws a sinker (!!), which sits in the upper-90’s and is more than likely just a variation of his fastball.

He is essentially a two-pitch pitcher, but those two pitches can be pretty dominant at times.

Must-See Matchup – Garrett Richards v. Mike Moustakas

I couldn’t resist. And he’s been so hot of late, I thought I might as well try to make myself look smarter.

The presence of a sinker is enough to warrant excitement. With it being just a variation of his fastball, that means his fastball has some of that natural, arm-side run which plays into Moustakas swing path perfectly.

Even if he doesn’t throw the sinker, he will still probably match up well with Moustakas.

Moose has also been fairly fond of Anaheim in the past.

Next: Game Two - Edinson Volquez Is Feeling Sexy

Apr 15, 2016; Oakland, CA, USA; Edinson Volquez has given up just four runs in 24.2 innings this season. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 15, 2016; Oakland, CA, USA; Edinson Volquez has given up just four runs in 24.2 innings this season. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports /

Tuesday: RHP Edinson Volquez (3-0, 1.46 ERA) v. Jered Weaver (2-0, 3.12 ERA)

The Edinson Volquez renaissance has culminated from a good-luck 2014 (3.04 ERA v. 4.15 FIP) into a legitimately productive 2015 (2.6 fWAR; highest since 2008).

Regression was *reasonably* expected for 2016, but Volquez has went into the opposite direction, spitting directly into typical baseball reasoning’s face and finding his prime at age 32 (going on 33), in his sixth full season.

After surrendering whiffs the last two seasons in favor of control, he has meshed the two so far this season, averaging just over eight strikeouts per nine innings, while walking less than three per nine innings.

For reference, Volquez has set new career lows in BB/9 the last two season, and his 2.92 mark this season would do that once again.

Volquez has also seen a light bump in veloctity, along with a boost in horizontal movement (see sinker, which is his two-seam fastball, because Ed is good).

Volquez certainly doesn’t love Anaheim, giving up 15 runs in his 14.1 innings against the Angels, but his last start against the Halos was back in 2007, so I wouldn’t worry too much about that.

The Royals, meanwhile, torched Jered Weaver last season, with him giving up eight runs in 10.1 innings of work.

What Weaver starting really does is give me the excuse to share this tweet with the Kings of Kauffman readership.

This is easily my favorite tweet of all time, because it’s not wrong.

If you are a baseball fan, as well as a Royals fan, you probably heard about his Spring Training velocity woes.

His velocity has stabilized since, but it is still ridiculously low.

This is a trend that has come to a climax after years of development.

Royals
Royals /

As you can see in this chart, via Brooks Baseball, his velocity hovered around 90 MPH fora solid four-year period, before starting a rapid decline to its current position.

This doesn’t usually profile well for the Royals, who obviously love guys who through really hard, but as we know from last year, Weaver doesn’t exactly fool the Royals.

Must-See Matchup – Edinson Volquez v. Albert Pujols

As he has been for so many pitchers over his 16 year career, Pujols has been a thorn in Volquez’s side.

Although he only has 14 plate appearances against Ed, Pujols has hit two homers and a double off of Volquez in 10 at-bats, adding four walks as well.

Although Pujols is aging and the Angels lack lineup depth, the presence of Trout and Pujols still give the Halos a fairly potent middle of the lineup.

Trout will get his, but if Trout and Pujols are giving Volquez problems, the Royals could have some trouble on their hands.

Next: Game Three - Chris Young Looks To Continue Rebound

Apr 22, 2016; Kansas City, MO, USA; Chris Youn bounced back nicely after back-to-back rough outings, going six innings and giving up just two runs against the Orioles. Mandatory Credit: Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 22, 2016; Kansas City, MO, USA; Chris Youn bounced back nicely after back-to-back rough outings, going six innings and giving up just two runs against the Orioles. Mandatory Credit: Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports /

Wednesday – RHP Chris Young (1-3, 6.41 ERA) v. Nick Tropeano (1-0, 1.69 ERA)

So far in 2016, Young has sandwiched two very Chris Young-esque starts with two real stinkers, giving up just four runs in 11 innings in the bread starts and 10 runs over 8.2 innings in the meat starts.

Coming off a start in which he gave up just two runs over six innings of work, as well as striking out 10, Young has another chance to re-establish his position as the Royals fourth starter.

Despite the struggles, Young has still struck out more batters than innings pitched (20 to 19.2), even with that being aided by his 10 strikeout performance last week.

Young only threw one inning against the Angels in 2015, but he did make two starts against a much better 2014 squad while he was in the Mariners rotation, giving up just four runs in 12.1 innings, while striking out 12.

Pujols has more at-bats against Young (17) than any other Angel, but has only recorded four hits and one extra-base hit during that span for an average of .235.

Trout has been worse, recording just one hit in six at-bats against Young, which makes sense, given Trout inability to hit pitches up in the zone the last time he faced Young.

Young, as we all know, lives up in the zone.

Opposing Young will be a third-year right-hander in Nick Tropeano, who only has 75.1 Major League innings to his name.

What that means for the Royals is that virtually all of their hitters have never seen Tropeano before.

And when I say virtually all, I mean that Kendrys Morales is the only Royals hitter to see Tropeano, and it was only for two at-bats.

I know about as much about Tropeano as you likely, meaning that I don’t know a whole lot. In fact, until I saw his name on the game preview, I had never heard of him.

After a bit of research, I have concluded that he is a pretty run-of-the-mill Major League starting pitcher.

His fastball sits in the 91-93 range, rarely touching 94, and he throws that pitch over 50% of the time, often closer to 60%.

His main off speed pitches are a slider and a changeup that he mixes up pretty consistently, while also sneaking in a few split-finger fastballs.

If I am not mistaken, this is the first pitcher the Royals have faced this year with a splitter in their arsenal.

I could also be wrong.

Must-See Matchup – Chris Young v. Mike Trout

For those of you who are interested in the deeper scouting aspects of baseball, you understand why this intrigues me. I mentioned it a bit earlier in this slide.

Through 2014, Trout’s Achilles heel was pitches in the upper part of the strike zone, and more specifically, elevated fastballs.

plot_h_profile (2)
plot_h_profile (2) /

However, he adjusted, and saw much better results in 2015.

Royals
Royals /

Obviously, he still isn’t thriving against that pitch. He wrecked pitches on the inner-upper half of the plate, but still struggled a bit across the plate.

Next: Carlos Beltran to Kansas City in 2017?

However, that skill is still evolving.

With Young being an unapologetic abuser of the top half of the zone, it will be interesting to see who has the advantage in this matchup.

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