Why these 3 KC Royals face make-or-break seasons

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Fans expecting big things from the KC Royals this season probably won't get them. The club's first offseason with J.J. Picollo in charge feels much like most of the winters Dayton Moore was at the helm: minor deals, not seismic moves, have been the norm, and what Picollo has done so far won't make the Royals contenders.

But whether its followers like it or not, proceeding slowly and cautiously is for now this franchise's chosen path, and the approach makes some sense. The Royals are packed with young, full-of-potential players the KC powers that be seem willing to let play and learn even if doing so means another losing campaign. And that's OK, especially considering the club has a new manager and coaches and the young, raw talent isn't quite ready to win anyway.

What, however, of Royal veterans who could, absent good 2023 seasons, find themselves displaced by components of that youthful talent? Several could fall into that category; three may be especially vulnerable.

KC Royals infielder Adalberto Mondesi might end up on the outside looking in.

Adalberto Mondesi is the Royal most susceptible to the consequences of a poor, or in his case, injury-riddled, season. His is a story so well-chronicled that it needn't be fully rehashed here; suffice it to say he shows flashes of his remarkable talent and potential, but only when sandwiched between the stints on the Injured List his many injuries, including the torn ACL that robbed him of all but 15 games last season, trigger.

Add to the mix his eligibility for free agency after this season and the recipe for a make-or-break season is complete. If they're not trying to move him already, something we've advocated for before, the Royals probably won't hesitate to do so if Mondesi starts poorly or serious injury befalls him again.

This season should determine Edward Olivares' future with the KC Royals.

What the Kansas City brain trust has in mind for outfielder Edward Olivares has been a mystery for much of the time since he arrived from San Diego via the 2020 trade that sent Trevor Rosenthal to the Padres and eventually brought Dylan Coleman to the Royals as the deal's player to be named later.

Olivares impressed in the 18 games he played for Kansas City that season, hitting .274 with a pair of homers and seven RBIs. But 2021 was an odyssey for Olivares: eight times the Royals called him up from Triple-A Omaha, and eight times they returned him to the Storm Chasers. He played adequately for KC but still hit only .238, a result to which his constant shuttling between Kansas City and Omaha probably contributed. And although roster crunches occasioned more than one of his round trips, that Olivares constantly seemed the choice to be sent down called the club's plans for him into question.

A pesky quad issue kept Olivares out of action for over three months last season, but he still played 53 times and slashed .286/.333/.410, a line good enough to place him in the starting outfield conversation for 2023.

Whether he claims a full-time spot remains to be seen. His 2022 performance should be sufficient for a serious shot at the Opening Day lineup, but he'll have to play well to stick. If he doesn't, look for this to be his final Kansas City season.

KC Royals pitcher Brad Keller should be on a short string this season.

Count righthanded pitcher Brad Keller among the seven players who avoided arbitration by signing one-year deals with the Royals late last week. He'll reportedly make $5.775 million this season, a salary now guaranteed thanks to the terms of the new collective bargaining agreement the clubs and players hammered out last year.

But that locked-in compensation doesn't, even for the single-season duration of his new contract, guarantee Keller's future with the team. And that doesn't bode well for a pitcher who's already on shaky ground.

Keller's status, once considered secure after he pitched well enough to win the club's Bruce Rice Pitcher of the Year Award twice in his first three seasons with KC, is uncertain at best after he went 8-12 with a 5.39 ERA in 2021 and 6-14, 5.09 last year. He's posted disturbingly-high ERAs for two straight seasons, and tied for the Royals' most losses two years ago and led them in that stat last season. His inconsistency is more than frustrating, and he lost his spot in the rotation last August.

Keller's 2022 campaign was, in a word, terrible and, combined with a 2021 season that was almost as bad, renders his continuing claim to a roster spot tenuous. He can't afford another bad year, especially when he, like Adalberto Mondesi, can test free agency for the first time after this season.

Next. Projecting Amir Garrett's 2023. dark

This season is a critical one for Adalberto Mondesi, Edward Olivares and Brad Keller.

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KC Royals infielder Adalberto Mondesi might end up on the outside looking in.

This season should determine Edward Olivares' future with the KC Royals.

KC Royals pitcher Brad Keller should be on a short string this season.

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