KC Royals: 3 moves Kansas City must not make yet
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The KC Royals lost their 10th straight game Wednesday night, an achievement of no good distinction that now overshadows the near-month they held down first place in the American League Central. Even before the game ended (Detroit won 4-2), cries and demands for change permeated social media, with fed up fans calling for releases, DFAs, trades, or firings…or all of the above.
But it isn’t time to reach for the panic button, much less hit it. The season is only 35 games young and, at 16-19, Kansas City is close to .500. Three things—better starting pitching, better relief work, and better hitting—will bring the Royals out of their slump.
And there are three things the club must not do now.
First thing the KC Royals shouldn’t do: Promote top prospect Bobby Witt Jr.
Everyone knows Bobby Witt Jr. is the Royals’ No. 1 prospect per MLB Pipeline. And by now, most know he hit his second regular season professional home run, and first as a member of the Double-A Northwest Arkansas Naturals, while the big club was losing to Detroit Wednesday. That feat alone will trigger calls for Witt’s immediate promotion to Kansas City, especially among those who believed the club flubbed when it didn’t choose him to start the season with the Royals.
Witt’s time will come. It isn’t now. Despite last night’s blast, Witt is showing why the KC Royals are so careful not to rush him to the majors after only one season in pro ball. Wednesday’s 3-for-5 effort pushed Witt’s seven-game average to a pedestrian .241, up from the poor 4-for-24 (.167) he owned before the contest started. The solo homer accounted for his first RBI, and he’s struck out 10 times in 29 official at bats.
Eventually, Witt will be great. But at this point, he’s not a solution to Kansas City’s immediate problems.
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Two key KC Royals are playing out their contracts. Don’t trade them now.
This is “contract year” for Danny Duffy and Jorge Soler, a pair of established Royals who can make major contributions to the success the club hopes to achieve this season, and which almost a month atop the American League Central suggested is possible. Without extensions, their current deals will end whenever this season ends.
The temptation will be, as it always is in such situations, to capitalize on the players’ present value by trading them for prospects before the campaign concludes—once their contracts are up, Duffy and Soler are free agents, and the Royals’ only return if they sign elsewhere is draft compensation. Dealing such players away for other players is often the better choice.
So, assuming Duffy and Soler are playing well as the July 30 trade deadline gets closer, contending clubs will come calling, and Kansas City will listen. But if the Royals are among those contenders, they’ll think twice before unloading Duffy and Soler for prospects when the two veterans could contribute to a KC stretch run.
But those are issues for July, not now. Nevertheless, Duffy is pitching some of the best baseball of his career, and teams in need of starters—especially lefthanders—will test the Royal waters soon (if they haven’t already). General Manager Dayton Moore might listen attentively to teams offering offensive help, which Kansas City could use, and his stable of hot young starters knocking on the major league door might sway him to move Duffy for an immediately helpful bat.
And despite his early season slump, Soler is showing signs of heating up. He drove in six runs with a homer and double against Detroit Tuesday and appears increasingly comfortable at the plate. His power alone, and propensity to start slowly and gain momentum, will draw attention.
Duffy and Soler are likely early trade targets but, for the present, the KC Royals needs to say “No.” Duffy leads the club with four wins and, even after giving up four runs to Detroit Wednesday, still owns a sub-2.00 ERA at 1.94. He has yet to pitch badly and will be needed if the Royals make the short jump back into contention. It’s the same with Soler: he should snap out of his funk soon, his power is valuable, and he’s playing passably in right field at a time when the lineup is uncertain.
Although it may be later, now isn’t the time to trade either player.
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Managers are ultimately responsible. Should the KC Royals make a change?
Managers are easy to blame, easy to fire, and easy to replace. Just ask anyone who was around the Yankees when George Steinbrenner made firing and rehiring Billy Martin a Bronx custom.
Firing (but probably not rehiring) Kansas City manager Mike Matheny, a sentiment currently making some Internet and social media rounds, isn’t the answer to his club’s current woes.
Matheny may do things in ways some find difficult to understand or adapt to, such as his penchant for basing decisions on which relievers to use not so much on set roles, but instead on the best matchups for each critical moment. Traditionalists prefer established jobs for each pitcher, a belief rooted in pitchers’ individual comforts and expectations.
But Matheny seems flexible, open to change, and more accepting of analytics and their benefit since coming to work in the Royals’ front office after St. Louis fired him in 2018, and succeeding Ned Yost as KC’s skipper following the 2019 season. He’s undergone somewhat of a transformation since his Cardinal days. (That isn’t to say he wasn’t a good manager in St. Louis—he was, as the National League pennant, three division titles, and Wild Card he led the Cardinals to, and the fact he didn’t have a losing season there, attest).
Matheny brought a breath of fresh air to the club last season (no knock intended on Yost, whose style differed so much from his successor) and, under tremendously unique and difficult circumstances, brought it home just eight games under .500. His dedication to mission and players is unquestioned, and he deftly guided the Royals to, and kept them in, first place for almost a month this season. Their current skid notwithstanding, they’re still close with 127 games to play.
No, this isn’t the time to axe Mike Matheny. He hasn’t even managed the Royals for a full season yet. He’ll guide this club out of these bad times.
dark. Next. Startling stat demands attention
The KC Royals are in the midst of an awful losing streak. But they need to avoid overreacting.