KC Royals draft check-in: 2015 edition

(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
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(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images) /

As the KC Royals move towards a rebuild it is vital that we keep in mind how we got to this point. Revisiting our recent drafts is a good place to start.

In the 2015 draft, the KC Royals had two first-round picks. They used both of those picks on high school pitchers from Indianapolis and…well, it did not go well.

Ashe Russell never made it beyond rookie league ball. His numbers were not great, also not terrible. But they were certainly not the numbers you would hope for from a first-round draft pick. His entire minor league career consists of just over 38 innings of rookie ball and he is now out of baseball.

Nolan Watson was the other first-round pick for the KC Royals in 2015. His career has also been a struggle. The furthest along he has made it is 63 innings of A+ ball in Wilmington. He missed almost all of 2019 with an injury. But even when healthy he has never struck many guys out and gives up a lot of hits.

The most useful selection of the 2015 draft was the second-round pick of Josh Staumont. Staumont’s tendency to issue free passes has always been a concern. But his ability to strike guys out has never been questioned. He has all the makings of a bullpen arm that can contribute. He has also proven everything he needed to in the minor leagues. I would take this pick as a win. He was a raw fireballer out of a small college when he was drafted. And he has developed into a big-league bullpen arm.

Garrett Davila was another high school pitcher. The KC Royals selected him with their fourth-round pick in 2015. He also missed 2019 with an injury. He is not without ability. He has a decent fastball/changeup combo. But in almost 300 innings of pro baseball, he has yet to make it above A-ball.

(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
(Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images) /

Once you get past the young pitchers in the 2015 draft, there were several hitting prospects. Most of those early picks also did not go well.

The KC Royals would use their picks in the third, fifth, and sixth rounds on college center-fielders. Anderson Miller now has over 1000 plate appearances in AA with an OPS under .700. Roman Collins was never able to hit enough to get above Wilmington and is now out of the organization. Cody Jones at least made it to AA ball for 41 games. But he was also never able to hit consistently and is no longer in the organization.

There are a few late rounds picks worth revisiting from 2015. Gabriel Cancel was selected in the 7th round. In 2019, his age 22 season, he was able to put together a respectable performance in AA. He was inconsistent but showed some real pop for a second baseman. He needs to take another step forward in 2020. But he is still young enough that if he does continue to improve he has the potential to become a major league player.

Nicholas Dini played in 20 games for the KC Royals last season. He was the 14th round pick in 2015. I do not believe anyone sees more than possible backup catcher in Dini’s future. But the guy can hit. His OPS in Omaha last season was .934. He has consistently hit at or above .300 in his minor league career. I would consider that to be a nice pickup in the 14th round of any draft.

Emmanuel Rivera was drafted in the 19th round of 2015. A lot of scouts have said a lot of good things about the swing of Emmanuel Rivera. He is a hard guy to strike out. But, he also does not walk a lot and he has shown almost no pop. Through 455 minor league games, his Slugging Percentage is still under .400. I just do not see that becoming a big league third baseman. He is more of a poor man’s Kelvin Gutierrez, at this point.

Jake Kalish was chosen in the 32nd round of the 2015 draft. 2020 will be his age 28 season. He has yet to pitch in the big leagues. But he did make it through 127 innings in 2019, most of which he spent enduring the wrecking ball that is the Pacific Coast League. And, he had a reasonable ERA of 4.86 to show for it. Kalish does not have overpowering stuff. He strikes out about seven hitters per nine innings. But he also does not give up walks, which is very strange for a pitcher in the KC Royals organization. He issues less than two walks per 9 innings. I think he may get a shot for the big-league club this year, in some capacity. Not bad for a pick in the 32nd round.

(Photo by Matt Roberts/Getty Images)
(Photo by Matt Roberts/Getty Images) /

Any time a professional sports organization has a draft that went as poorly as 2015 did for the KC Royals it is incumbent upon the leadership to look at their own decision-making process and where it all went wrong.

2015 was a rough draft. Either we made bad decisions, or we failed to develop the talent we drafted. Either way, this begins to explain how a team loses more than a hundred games in back to back seasons and is still set to do it again. High school pitchers are a high risk/ high reward proposition. If you are going to use three of your first four picks on them, one of them needs to pan out.

Staumont, Cancel, Dini, Rivera, and Kalish are all respectable picks. Even if some of them never become more than AAA filler. They have all justified their draft position. They are the kind of late-round picks that would have made 2015 a reasonable draft if even one of our early rounds starting pitcher selections had worked out. But they did not.

Next. KC Royals overlooked players for 2020. dark

And that failure is on the KC Royals as an organization. It can only be corrected by admitting what went wrong and correcting that for future drafts. It also usually requires making smart trades to fill in the holes you have created through these bad decisions. When your first-round pick is a starting pitcher who quits the sport before he is legally allowed to drink there is no other way to look at that other than as a failure of management. Luckily for many of us that lived through the 2015 draft, we are legally allowed to drink.

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