Five Royals Storylines to Watch for in 2018

KANSAS CITY, MO - AUGUST 03: Manager Ned Yost
KANSAS CITY, MO - AUGUST 03: Manager Ned Yost
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This season is all about potential (or lack thereof) for the Boys in Blue. With Spring Training games looming, there are still many question marks surrounding the team. Will Eric Hosmer come back? Who will replace him? Can the rotation stay healthy for an entire season? These are just a few questions going through the minds of Royals fans. This article will bring up five storylines for everyone to watch for as the season unfolds. 

As mentioned in a previous article, we’ve reached a peculiar situation as fans of the Royals. Although some were/are in favor of keeping home-grown talent (Alex Gordon, Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas), others have stood on the other side of the fence regarding payroll, the minor-league system and player development (among other things). There’s no definitive line dividing what’s a good or bad idea because no one is sure how 2018 will go.

With so many differing opinions and question marks surrounding the team, they come with many storylines to look out for. From young players looking to make their debuts, all the way to seasoned veterans trying to get their careers back on track, there is plenty to think about. We’ve provided you with five of them to watch as the year progresses. In a season anticipated to be as frustrating as this one, there will hopefully be a few silver linings or interesting developments to keep us entertained.

Without further ado, let’s meet on the next five slides and take a look at what the 2018 season could be for Kansas City.

ARLINGTON, TX – APRIL 21: Manager Ned Yost
ARLINGTON, TX – APRIL 21: Manager Ned Yost /

The Health of the Starting Rotation

If the season started today, the Royals’ starting rotation would likely be Danny Duffy, Ian Kennedy, Jason Hammel, Nathan Karns and Jakob Junis. There are a couple players who could spot-start for the team (Wily Peralta, Jesse Hahn) but overall, the aforementioned five pitchers should begin the season in the rotation. Junis and Hammel come with clean bills of health these past few years, but that isn’t the case for their fellow starters:

  • Danny Duffy:
    • Although he was following up a season in which he pitched nearly 180 innings, Duffy still brought a bit of an injury risk along with him. Last season, he suffered an oblique strain and pronator strain at separate points in the year. In October, he underwent surgery to remove loose bodies in his pitching elbow. According to Duffy, he had considered the surgery before, but it was nothing serious enough to require him to do so. At the age of 29, this is the perfect time for Duffy to put together an injury-free season.
  • Ian Kennedy:
    • Fully recovered from a hamstring injury that occurred early in the 2017 season. Kennedy was still able to make 30 starts, but the injury may have lingered and limited his effectiveness throughout the year. He’s not much of an injury risk, but it’s something to keep in the back of your mind.
  • Nathan Karns:
    • One of the biggest storylines surrounding the Royals this season is Karns. He has pitched 100+ innings in a season just once. Coming off thoracic outlet syndrome surgery early last season. Although he’s a huge injury risk, the Royals expect him to be ready for Spring Training and for a full 2018 season.
  • TORONTO, ON – SEPTEMBER 21: Whit Merrifield
    TORONTO, ON – SEPTEMBER 21: Whit Merrifield /

    Whit Merrifield’s Short Leash?

    This may sound foolish to some of you, but we’re less than a year removed from Raúl Mondesí winning the starting second base job in Spring Training heading into last season. We all know the narrative after that. Mondesí struggled, so Whit Merrifield was called up and ran with the job. Hitting .288 on the season with 19 home runs and 78 RBIs, Merrifield was very good in the 145 games he played. He also led the American League in stolen bases with 34. He’s a lock to play second base all year, right? Not so fast.

    In Mondesí’s season preview, I used a Dayton Moore quote that caught my eye. Here it is, in case you didn’t see it the first time around:

    “Mondy, although he had a breakout year in AAA, there’s still some questions with durability. We need to see that but he’ll get an opportunity to compete at second base again. If he doesn’t win a job, he’ll be back at AAA to develop.”

    Many Royals fans, including myself, are 100% sold on Whit Merrifield and believe he should be starting at second base all season. For some reason, Dayton Moore dropped that line about Mondesí getting another shot to compete at second base.

    I’m not predicting this (or hoping for it) in the slightest, but don’t be surprised to see Merrifield’s playing time cut a bit if he struggles in Spring Training and Mondesí excels. Merrifield shouldn’t have to deal with a short leash, but it may be a bit shorter than you think. Whether we like it or not, that’s how it appears from the outside-looking-in.

    TORONTO, ON – SEPTEMBER 19: Alex Gordon
    TORONTO, ON – SEPTEMBER 19: Alex Gordon /

    Alex Gordon’s Last Hurrah?

    Alex Gordon was bad last season. That’s been established. How bad? To put things into context, Gordon was the worst hitter in baseball in 2017. His OPS of .608 was worst than anyone in the game. I’ll put the tweet in here again:

    Entering the third year of his four-year, $72 million contract, it’s time for Gordon to get his act together. He changed his approach in September and hopes to bring the same revised version into 2018. Following what was the worst season of his entire career, many of you have lost hope for Gordon. The only reasoning I can use here for gaining it back is: it’s extremely difficult to be that bad for two straight years.

    Yes, Gordon was also dreadful in 2016. However, he wasn’t literally the worst performer at the plate in the MLB. There’s only one way to go from here: up. With an entire offseason to alter his approach and find out what was wrong with his bat, it’s not crazy to expect Gordon to improve in 2018. How much so? No one is sure. Here’s to Gordon (somewhat) returning to form this season.

    KANSAS CITY, MO – SEPTEMBER 30: Ned Yost
    KANSAS CITY, MO – SEPTEMBER 30: Ned Yost /

    Bubba’s “Star” Rising?

    It seems as if Bubba Starling has been stuck in the minor leagues for almost seven years now. Oh yeah, he has. Despite an oblique injury cutting his season short, Starling was able to hit .248 in 2017. This may not sound like a good figure but when considering he hit .183 the year before, it’s progress. Hitting .248 in AAA is far more impressive than it looks, considering Starling’s extensive history of struggles at the plate.

    It’s well-documented that Starling has MLB-ready speed and a great glove. Some are more optimistic than others:

    Nonetheless, you get the point. Starling himself knows the clock is ticking on his MLB debut. Earlier this year, he said the following:

    “I’ve been in the system long enough, seven years now, I feel like I’m getting kind of old… It’s like, it’s time for me to figure this baseball thing out and run with it.”

    Expected to start the season in AAA Omaha, it would be a welcome sight to have Starling patrolling center field at Kauffman Stadium this summer. Set to turn 26 in August, time is indeed running out. It’s time for the Royals to find out what they have in Bubba Starling.

    KANSAS CITY, MO – JUNE 13: David Glass owner of the Kansas City Royals talks with Dan Glass president and Dayton Moore general manager before an interleague game against the Milwaukee Brewers at Kauffman Stadium on June 13, 2012 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
    KANSAS CITY, MO – JUNE 13: David Glass owner of the Kansas City Royals talks with Dan Glass president and Dayton Moore general manager before an interleague game against the Milwaukee Brewers at Kauffman Stadium on June 13, 2012 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images) /

    Trade Deadline: Making Moves or Standing Pat?

    Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA system projects the Royals to finish tied with the Marlins for the worst record in the MLB at 66-96. The team has exceeded the projections for a whopping eight consecutive seasons, though. After losing Lorenzo Cain and (as things stand now) the dynamic duo of Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas to free agency, this lineup is going to have immense trouble scoring runs. That’s just half of the battle.

    Dayton Moore and Ned Yost want to rebuild. They also want to win soon. There’s a fine line one can walk in order to do both at the same time. This year is not the time to do so. If at the trade deadline, pieces such as Whit Merrifield and Kelvin Herrera are experiencing successful seasons, expect the Royals to listen to trade offers for them.

    Herrera’s been involved in trade rumors for a few years now. In regards to those rumors, along with the club’s recent moves, here’s what he had to say:

    “I knew the Royals were rebuilding, or they are rebuilding,” “I wasn’t worried at all. I tell you: I’ll do my job wherever.”

    Danny Duffy has had some trade rumors surrounding him pop up as well. He quickly put those to rest with his intent to remain with the club:

    Just a few things to think about. If the club is out of contention near the trade deadline, it’s still possible that pieces get moved. The same goes if the team is somehow outperforming its projections. No matter how certain you may be, the game of baseball will always find a way to throw you a curveball when you’re expecting a fastball down the middle.

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