The KC Royals aren’t dead yet. They’ve pulled off three straight wins and now sit 4.5 games behind Toronto for the AL’s second wild card. With 12 games to play, they could still make the post-season with one more miracle run.
The 2016 Kansas City Royals have been a streaky team. They started the season 12-6, won 13 out of 16 from May15 to June 1, and then reeled off a 18-4 run in August inspired by the now famed Rally Mantis. They followed that 13-3 stretch in May with an eight game losing skid, and lost five straight just last week before winning three in a row from the White Sox.
In short, the 2016 KC Royals have been consistently inconsistent.
But, Kansas City now has the opportunity to make a historic comeback. They trail New York (0.5 games), Houston (1.5 games), Detroit (2.5 games), Seattle (2.5 games), and Toronto (4.5 games) for the AL wild card. If they can climb over five teams with 12 games to play, it will be their most improbable feat yet.
According to Fangraphs.com, the KC Royals have a mere 0.1% chance at making the post-season. That’s 1 in 1000 folks.
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As any serious major-league baseball fan should know, this group in Kansas City isn’t a stranger to unlikely feats. In 2014, they became the first team in major-league history to win an elimination game after trailing by four runs in the eighth inning. They ended up defeating Oakland 9-8 in the 12th inning of the 2014 wild card game. According to ESPN’s, KC had a 3% chance to win.
In 2015, the KC Royals overcame yet another four run. eighth inning deficit in an elimination game against the Houston Astros in the ALDS. Kansas City became the first team to win such a game on the road. Not only did the Royals have a mere 2% chance to win that game according to ESPN, even governor Greg Abbot of Texas tweeted premature congratulations to the Astros for their “win”.
On Memorial Day, the KC Royals overcame a 7-1 lead by rallying to score seven runs in the ninth inning. According to CBS Sports, Kansas City had a 1 in 1000 chance to win that game. Heck, this team should KNOW that 1 in 1000 doesn’t mean impossible.
I know the most likely outcome is that, sooner or later in the next two weeks, the dream will die. And I know it’s tempting to simply turn your attention to football season. But, KC Royals fans shouldn’t go to into hibernation quite yet. If they can find one more pinch of fairy dust, the Royals could pull off their greatest comeback yet.
And you don’t want to miss a moment of it.