The second new stat I use, perhaps originally, is an adjusted SLG where walks, HBP, and net stolen bases are considered “self-created bases” and added to total bases, then the sum divided by PA. aSLG shows, as of a few days ago when last I calculated, Melky at .504, Billy at .508, Gordon at .509, and Frenchy at .512. For comparison, Jose Batista was .918, Prince Fielder .651. Admittedly it might overweight walks compared to a single, but it seems fair as a measure of average total bases per PA created by a hitter. Since it is a refined version of SLG plus net steals, it offers a speed factor for hitters.

The eyeballs tell us that Billy isn’t an overly productive hitter in the only stat that really matters, runs, so I’m trying to move beyond OBP, which considers a walk to be wholly self-created, and wOBA, which considers a guy who walks three times more productive than the hitter with a home run. Both stats consider a walk to Billy to have the same value as a walk to Jarrod Dyson. aSLG and RSD together give, I think, a more accurate explanation of what we see on the field than OBP, SLG, and wOBA.

]]>The only way he can be assured of driving in a run is to hit a homer, which, yes, is part of the discussion, but there are plenty of players who have weird 25 homer 75 RBI type years when they happen to have nobody on when they go yard. And really, Melky and Gordon have driven in a bunch of guys, often ahead of Butler…so if he isn’t coming up with runners on, he’s at best going to drive in himself IF he hits a homer – which nobody on the Royals has really been great at (better than in recent history though).

]]>Billy’s production can be seen in his 40 Rs, 41 RBIs, for a total of 81 runs scored and driven in, RSD. By comparison, Frenchy is 45, 60, and 105; Gordon 54, 51, and 105; Melky 63, 57, and 120; Escobar 44, 30, and 74; Hosmer 28, 39, and 67 in a short season. Billy is fifth in SLG, third in wOBA, fifth in HR, sixth in R, fourth in RBI, two ahead of Hosmer, which suggests why he is so low in production of runs. Billy’s OBP is even being closed in on by Gordon.As for Billy’s exalted walks, that does have something to do with who he is hitting in front of. Billy’s OBP was over .400 when followed in the order by Aviles or Betemit and has been sliding since he moved up to 3rd or 4th. Billy is dangerous enough to pitch around to get to weak hitters, but not so dangerous to pitch around to get to Gordon, Frenchy, or Hosmer.

Good post, good effort:)

]]>